Wednesday 21 November 2012

Week 3: The Veteran Presence-Deep League Special

Hello everyone and welcome to another adition of Three in the Key Fantasy Basketball Pickups! The rules are plain and simple, I recommend five players (one for each starting NBA position) and they have to be owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues. If you have any questions or concerns about your fantasy team's trades and pickups feel free to ask me in the comment section. I regularly check the blog and am always happy to help.

Now time for the real material, let's see who caught my eye this week in the world of basketball.

Point Guard

Alexey Shved (PG,SG) Yahoo Ownership 18%

You may be wondering why I would begin my "Veteran Presence" article with a 23 year old rookie point guard from Russia. The fact is Alexey Shved made his pro basketball debut in Russia for CSKA Moscow at age 17!!!, showing the amount of pedigree and talent he possesses. After playing well overseas and leading the Russian national team to a bronze medal at the London Olympic games, Shved caught the eye of many NBA scouts and was finally signed by the Timberwolves this offseason. Coming into the year, this international man of mystery really had no role in the lineup, with the signings of Chase Budinger, Brandon Roy and fellow Russia teammate Andrei Kirilenko, the Timberwolves made it imperative to have a deep front court with the absence of Ricky Rubio. But things don't always go according to plan and Minnesota has been decimated by injuries  losing Roy and Budigner to knee surgeries, and J.J. Barea to a foot injury. Now playing time has seemingly opened up for the Russian and he has not disappointed so far in the limited minutes he has played. Due to his length (he measures in a 6 ft 6 in) Shved has put up some impressive defensive numbers when given 30+ minutes. In the past 9 games, when given 30+ minutes Alexey has averaged a very impressive 16.2   points, 1.2 blocks, 4.8 rebounds, 6.5 assists, and 1.6 three pointer. Although his shooting percentage (.383%) and turnover rate (2.8) shows that he still has a lot of work to do in getting adjusted with the NBA speed and style, Shved has clearly shown to fantasy owners that when given time to run, he can produce at an impressive rate. Although the sample size is small, and the presence of Ridnour (not like he stays healthy for long) and the future return of Rubio may hinder Shveds ability to see floor time, I truly believe that his multi category potential has the ability to greatly assist fantasy owners now and in the future. Managers  would be wise to grab Shved now before it's too late in favour of players such as Jared Dudley and Mario Chalmers, he simply has much more upside.



Strong Buy (12-14 team plus)




Can the international man of mystery make a go of it in the NBA? 




Shooting Guard
The three ball specialist is ready to roll


Daniel "Boobie" Gibson (PG,SG) Yahoo Ownership 12%

It's hard to believe but good old Boobie is playing his 7th season with the Cavs this year, and still at the ripe age of 26 years old. It's not a secret as to what Gibson calling card is, the man can flat out shoot the three ball. With a career 41.6 three point percentage it's obvious that Gibson is consistently a threat to hurt teams from downtown. Now the issue with Gibson is A) He never can stay healthy (only once has played more than 70 games in a season) and B) He rarely gets enough playing time to have a serious fantasy impact. Well with the unfortunate injury to superstar point guard Kyrie Irving it seems that Gibson's path to playing time has taken a turn for the better. With not many options to choose from in the front court, Byron Scott will probably be forced to deploy Gibson more than he has in the beginning of the season. When staying healthy and given court time, Gibson has averaged as a starter 11.6 ppg, 0.8 steals, and an impressive 2.3 3pt made per game. Although it's no guarantee that Gibson will become a starter with the 4 week absence of Irving I suspect that his minutes will climb to around 28 mpg, much better than his current 21 mpg and more than enough time for him to create and impact for owners. Managers who are in a pinch for some cheap three pointers, steals, and solid free throw percentages should look no further than Daniel Gibson as a short term loan. Think of him as a slightly better version of Kyle Korver and Jared Dudley and enjoy the short but fun ride while it lasts.

Moderate Buy (14 team plus)



Small Forward

Tayshaun Prince (SF,PF) Yahoo Ownership 30%

Now we've finally reached a real veteran in both age and career. The 31 year old Prince is now and 11 year NBA veteran and if there is one word I could use to describe his game, it would be "consistent". His career averages speak for themselves; 32 mpg, 12.9 ppg, 4.7 rebounds, 46% FG, and 0.7 3pt mpg, Tayshaun is the definition of deep league multi category fantasy player. He rarely puts up overwhelming numbers but never lets hurts you with terrible performances. The former Kansas product skinny figure and long reach translates into his ability to produce solid amounts across the defensive category board, from blocks (0.6) to steals (0.6). Although he no longer plays on the "Fab Five Pistons" Prince still is able to put up decent fantasy value across the board, averaging top 125 fantasy production. Yes the 2012 Pistons are a bad team, and some fans have been calling for a youth movement since the squad is not competing for anything significant, but Prince is at no risk to loose playing time simply because he is one of the only competent defensive players this team has. When you add up the fact that he is currently shooting a career best 55% from three point land its easy to see why owners can find Prince useful for their fantasy squads. Managers in need of consistent production across the board should look no further than Prince and would be wise to drop him in favour of underwhelming players such as Wilson Chandler and Trevor Ariza. Think of Prince as a slightly less version of Alonzo Gee and enjoy the consistent output.
The skinny Prince is still the king of consistency

Moderate Buy (12-14 team plus)













Power Forward

Jason Thompson (PF,C) Yahoo Ownership 44%

Let's get a little younger and little more upside and talk about the fantasy value Jason Thompson has surprisingly provided. I say surprisingly because coming into this season, no one had any idea how the playing time would pan out with the Kings' starting rotation.  With the presence of Demarcus Cousins and Chuck Hayes and the additions of rookie Thomas Robinson and James Johnson, it seemed impossible for Thompson to find anything above 25 minutes per game in this crowded back court. Yet as much as a carousel ride Keith Smart's starting rotation has become, shockingly Thompson has been one of the few players receiving consistent 30 minute playing time. After the first 10 games into the season Thompson has averaged 10.8 ppg, 7.2 rebounds, a career high 1.3 blocks, and in free throw percentage 76.5%. Now Thompson has put up these top 80 fantasy numbers while averaging a solid 30.11 minutes per game, something that is essential for him to take the next step from a fringe top 140 fantasy player, to a solid top 100 fantasy player. The former 12th overall pick has seen himself carve out a substantial and safe role in the Kings lineup, while Demarcus Cousins will always be locked into  the starting centre role, Thompson has so far been able to hold off the veteren (but offensively inept) Chuck Hayes, and has surprisingly not lost much playing time to the highly touted prospect Thomas Robinson. While an eventual loss of playing time to Robinson seems likely, (and logical because this team isn't going anywhere) as long as the mind numbing presence of Keith Smart is calling the shots for this club, Thompson should have no problem keeping up the production he has displayed so far. Owners would be wise to seek the talents of Thompson in favor of other under achieving players such as Ersan Ilyasova and Emeka Okafor and enjoy the likely top 100 production for the remainder of the season.

Solid Buy (12-14 team plus)

Like his game...love his sideburns


Centre

Brendan Haywood (C) Yahoo Ownership 8%

Now it's time for the real deep league veteran special, and who better to talk about then 13 season veteran centre Brendan Haywood. The 32 year old Tar Heel has been another model of mediocre consistency but in recent seasons his production has slipped beyond serviceable for even deep leaguers. After his 3 year tenure in Dallas ended (which was disastrous in both a basketball and fantasy perspective) deep league owners were intrigued with Haywood's signing with the lowly Charlotte Bobcats. Although for doubters it seemed as if Haywood did not have much gas left in the tank and would most likely continue to play in a reserve role, behind the likes of Bismack Biyombo and Byron Mullens.  Yet Bobcats coach Mike Dunlap has surprisingly decided to not move forward with the sophomore Biyombo and feels that Haywood provides the team with a better chance to win now. This decision has resulted in an Haywood starting and averaging 5 minutes more than his career average 23 mpg. With the extended court run, Haywood has averaged 7.2 ppg, 8.0 rebounds, 1.0 blocks, and 55.1 FG%, not spectacular numbers, but stats that can certainly be appreciated by deep league owners. Managers in shallow leagues and in need of a centre would be wise to acquire the services of Haywood as a short term investment (Bynum and Bogut owners im looking you), those in deeper leagues who are in need of rebounds and blocks would also be smart to go out and grab Haywood as a season long investment. Haywood is a low risk and medium reward commodity and owners should have no problem receiving solid defensive stats from the veteran centre.

Moderate Buy (14 team plus)


Deep leaguers should look no further than the veteran centre 


That's it for this weeks edition of Three in the Key Fantasy Basketball Pickups, I leave you all with my misplay of the week. We've got Jeremy Lin not living up to the New York Linsanity like some owners hoped he would:














Saturday 10 November 2012

Week 2: Half Court Offense

Hello everyone and welcome back to the second edition of Three in the Key Fantasy Basketball Pickups! As you may know the rules of the article are quite simple, I recommend 5 players (one for each starting NBA position) and each of these players must be owned in less than 50% of Yahoo leagues.

Before we begin with this weeks pickups, I would like to take the time and encourage all my readers to use the comments section of my blog and to ask ANY of your fantasy basketball related questions. I check the blog daily and will respond to anyone who needs help or advice on pickups and trades.

Now time for the fun stuff, lets take a look at who caught my eye this week.

Point Guard

A.J. Price (PG) Yahoo Ownership 7%

Who? Yes I was thinking the exact same thing when I saw Price's jersey leading the Wizards attack this week. A member of the Indiana Pacers for three years before being signed by the Washington Wizards this past offseason, A.J. Price did not see much of the court backing up the likes of Darren Collinson and George Hill, thus leaving him off many fantasy owners radars. Yet with a new change of scenery and a stress injury to the knee of franchise player John Wall, Price now finds himself quarterbacking an NBA offense. Although Wall is expected back by late November early December, Price can most certainly provide some fantasy usefulness with the limited time that he has leading the Wizards offense. After the first three games of the season, Price has shown fantasy owners that he can provide some help in assists (5.7 ast) and 3-pointers (2.3 3pt) while showing his backup pedigree with an ugly 30.6 field goal percentage. While the shooting percentage may not rise much higher, Price should be able to continue to produce solid assists and 3 point totals for fantasy owners, as long as he is manning the point for the Wizards offense. For deep league owners in a pinch for dimes and 3's consider Price a solid short term loan while Wall continues to rest his troublesome knee. Injuries like these can be tricky, and Price is one bad injury report away from being a short term loan to a season long investment.

Moderate Buy (14 team plus)


Owners in need of a short term PG fix should look at A.J. Price



Shooting Guard


Rodney Stuckey (PG,SG) Yahoo Ownership 34%

One of the more common mistakes made by fantasy managers is dropping proven players that have fallen into bad slumps early on in the season. Rodney Stuckey is definitely a proven player and has most certainly started off his season in a brutal slump. After beginning the year in a brutal 1 for 23 shooting slump, owners could not wait to kick Stuckey to the curb for a hot starting waiver wire player. Savvy managers would be wise to acquire the services of Stuckey now before his ownership level begins to rise, due to the inevitable return of the players pedigree. There is a reason Stuckey has finished inside the top 125 in fantasy the past three seasons, he drives to the basketball often, and shoots plenty of free throws. Although Stuckey may not get the respect calls from many NBA refs as the likes of Kobe and Lebron do, he still manages to score often and has averaged over 15 ppg over the past 3 seasons. Perhaps he may not provide the assists numbers he used to since sophmore Brandon Knight is now leading the point in Detroit, but Stuckey will continue to provide owners with solid scoring totals and great percentages, he's even expressed a desire to shoot more threes (something that had hindered his value greatly in the past seasons). His minutes are not legitimately threatened by anyone else on the roster (Detroit is one of the worst teams in the NBA) and he has supposedly recovered from a painful ear infection that was bothering him to start the season (and probably the reason for his poor start). Owners would be smart to pick up Stuckey in favour of names like Gerald Henderson and Courtney Lee, and expect top 120 fantasy value in return for their investment.

Solid Buy (12 team plus)


The seasoned guard still has plenty left in the tank 







How long can Gee's fantasy value go overlooked? 





Small Forward

Alonzo Gee (SG,SF) Yahoo Ownership 12%

Perhaps its because he is a member of the Cavs, or maybe because he was never selected in an NBA draft, but Alonzo Gee can never seem to get the respect he deserves from fantasy owners. After having a semi breakout season last year and just finishing outside the top 100 in fantasy value, some believed that Gee would see his stock rise coming into the 2012-13 fantasy basketball season. Yet when the Cavs went out and signed C.J. Miles many owners panicked over the playing time of Gee and his ADP plummeted to 318 in fantasy drafts. Coming into the year even I wasn't sure how the playing time would pan out in Cleveland with their new free agent acquisitions and draft picks (Dion Waiters) but Gee has been able to carve himself a substantial amount of minutes. Due to his lockdown defense coach Byron Scott loves starting Gee in order for him to matchup with the opposing teams best players, this has allowed Gee to average over 31 mpg so far in the young season. With the minutes Gee is continuing to put up solid fantasy numbers, averaging over 10 points, 3 assists, and 1.8 steals. As Gee continues to separate himself from Miles due to his elite defense owners should no longer worry about the playing time of the 25 year old forward. So far Gee is averaging top 105 fantasy value, but as soon as his shooting percentage climbs back to his career normal (he's shooting only 39% from the field right now) I suspect Gee will crack the top 100 and his ownership level will begin to rise. Owners looking for a player that can provide solid defensive numbers from the forward position should look no further than Gee, and would be wise to drop players such as Tony Allen and Shawn Marion in favour of him. Think of Gee as a slightly less version of Kawhi Leanard this season, and enjoy the top 100 value from the young Cavalier.

Moderate Buy (12-14 team plus)

The Mullens smooth touch can help fantasy owners









Power Forward



Byron Mullens (PF,C) Yahoo Ownership 47%

There really isn't an excuse to be made, or a reason to be given as to why Mullens isn't owned in over half of yahoo leagues. Perhaps its because the Bobcats have only played three games and the big man has gotten off to a slow shooting start that owners have failed to recognize the services of Mullens. If I had to use one player to best describe Mullens game the obvious choice would be Ryan Anderson, both these guy just love to chuck up the three ball, something that is invaluable to owners at the power forward position. Last year it was not until late in the season that Mullens began to show owners what he was capable off, with the likes of Boris Diaw and Bismack Biyombo blocking his way. Yet when receiving starters minutes Mullens showed that he could be solid contributor averaging over 11 ppg (1.1 3 pointers), 7 rebounds, and just under 1 block per game. Coming into this year Mullens was a sleeper on many owners cheat sheets yet when Charlotte signed Brandon Haywood, some became concerned about wether Mullens would receive enough playing time to show off his skill set. Although Haywood is now starting, it is Biyombo that has fallen out of the starting lineup not Mullens, and the big man is averaging over 31 mpg over the past three contests. With Mullens now sliding over to the power forward spot and Haywood taking responsibilities for the opposing teams big man, Mullens has seen an uptick in defensive efficiency with an increase in both rebounds (8.4) and blocks (1.0). Along with the solid defensive numbers, Mullens is still chucking up those threes averaging an insane 8.0 three point attempts per game, a number that will definitely lower to around 5 or 6. Already putting up top 80 fantasy numbers, and averaging 15.3 points, there is no reason to think that this won't be Mullens break out season. Owners should jump onto the Mullens bandwagon now and enjoy the Channing Frye like stats from the Charlotte big man in favour of names such as Elton Brand and Kris Humphries.

Strong Buy (12 team plus)

Centre

Patrick Patterson (PF,C) Yahoo Ownership 16%

Let's stick to the trend hear and take a look at another big man that seems to be chucking up the three ball. The story of Patrick Patterson is simple, he tore up his first two years in college but decided to come back and play for a national championship rather than leave when his stock was at an all time high, Tyler Hansbrough anyone? This decision hurt Patterson's  numbers in his junior year and dropped his stock a bit in the 2010 NBA draft (he still went 14th overall). In Patterson's junior year he showed off his NBA fantasy potential with a balanced stat line averaging 14.3 points, 7.4 rebounds, 1.3 blocks, and about 1 three pointer per game. After being drafted by the Rockets, Patterson proceeded to tear up the D-League  (averaging 18 points and 10 rebounds) and then was called up within 10 games by the Rockets. Unfortunately for the remainder of his rookie season and his entire sophomore season Patterson struggled to find playing time in a crowded Rockets frontcour, only receiving 6 starts within that span and averaging 23 minutes of playing time. Yet after the Rockets traded away Samuel Dalembert, and used their amnesty clause on Louis Scola this offseason, Patterson was the favourite to earn the starting power forward job for Houston. After missing the first game due to a quad injury, Patterson has now started the last three games and has averaged over 32 minutes of playing time, 13.0 points (1.0 three pointers), 6.0 rebounds, and 0.7 blocks. While the rebounding number looks low, and will probably not rise by that much due to the presence of rebounding god Omer Asik,  (i suspect he will average about 7.5 by years end) Patterson has still averaged top 100 value due to his ability to hit the three ball. Owners in a pinch for some cheap three pointers and scoring would be wise to acquire the services of Patterson in favour of low rebounding centres like Al Harrington and Emeka Okafor. At the ripe young age of twenty-three,  Patterson has both a world of talent and potential, and owners would be wise to tap into the young man's talents now before its too late, his ownership will rise fast.

Strong Buy (12-14 team plus)

Keeper leagues should be seriously intrigued with Patrick Patterson 



I now leave you guys with one of the worst dunk attempts ever. Seriously, what was Merreese Speights thinking here? Definitely will not be recommending him anytime soon.










Sunday 4 November 2012

Week 1: Let's Get the Ball Rolling!


Hello everyone and welcome to the first ever Three in the Key Fantasy Basketball Pickups! The article will consist of a total of 5 recommended players, one for each starting NBA position. The rules of the article are that each player I recommend must have less than 50% ownership in Yahoo fantasy leagues.

Now that we have covered the ground rules, lets take a look at who has caught my eye this week.




Point Guard

Jarret Jack (PG,SG) Yahoo Ownership 36%

Owners looking for a point guard with a steady floor and high upside have no further to look than Jarret Jack. After being traded from the New Orleans Hornets to the Golden State Warriors many owners believed that Jack's value was strictly tied to the health of guard Stephan Curry, who looked to be starting the season with already reoccurring ankle issues. Although Jack's value may be hindered by the presence of Curry, the loss of Brandon Rush with a torn ACL, and Mark Jackson's deployment of a three guard offense has helped Jack already put up top 70 fantasy lines. Through the first three games of the season Jack has averaged 6.7 dimes and 29 mpg (a number that should grow with the loss of Rush)  and with Mark Jackson trusting him to run the point more often, there is no reason to think Jack's assist totals won't hold up for the remainder of the season. Savvy owners will be wise to snatch up Jack now and reep the already lucrative benifits, with the potential of that stock to skyrocket even greater.
A torn Brandon Rush ACL, has opened the fantasy door for Jack



 Strong Buy (10 teams plus)


Does the masked veteran still have fantasy value?






Shooting Guard



Richard Hamilton (SG) Yahoo Ownership 18%

Sometimes the right fantasy play isn't always the sexy one, and many times owners choose to overlook veterans who are passed their primes for younger big boom fantasy players. Although Rip Hamilton isn't the 20 point scorer he once was, the 34 year old veteran has found himself again in a productive scoring role. With the absence of the Bulls franchise point guard Derrick Rose, and the departure of defensive specialist Ronnie Brewer, Chicago is now relying on their veteran shooting guard for some scoring to help ease the load off of stars Carlos Boozer and Joakim Noah. Hamilton has responded very well and in the first two games of the young season, has put up back to back 19 point performances. Baring injury (which is a big 'if") Hamilton could easily find himself averaging around 14 ppg by the end of the season, a very useful number, especially for deep league owners. Expectations should wary due to Hamiltons lack of supporting numbers in the assists and rebound department, but owners should not feel hesitation to pick up the shooting guard in favour of younger over hyped fantasy commodities such as Gerald Henderson or Bradley Beal. Think of Rip as a poor man Jamal Crawford this season, and enjoy the respectable point output and high free throw percentage.

Moderate Buy (14 teams plus)

Small Forward

Al-Farouq Aminu (SF) Yahoo Ownership 39%

One of the best fantasy strategies is targeting the post hype sleepers, and Aminu is the absolout definition of that. After being selected to the all-freshman team in the ACC, Aminu was the 8th overall draft pick in the 2010 for the LA Clippers, but things didn't go according to plan. Aminu struggled to find his game the next season and was eventually traded to the New Orleans in the Chris Paul deal, but the change of scenery didn't help out Aminus numbers. Now back again in New Orleans for his third season Aminu has finally begun to tap into the potential that made him a top draft pick. Due to injuries to Eric Gordon and the departure of Trevor Ariza and Carl Landry, Aminu finds himself as the only capable small forward on the Hornets roster. This has finally given Aminu playing time, something he has lacked in his entire NBA career. Averaging 32 minutes the past three games Aminu has provided top 60 fantasy value with 13 points, 7 rebounds, 2 blocks, and 2 steals. Due to Aminu physical gifts and his ability to fill up the stat sheet, owners would be wise to pick up the post hype player in favour off names such as Trevor Ariza and Harrison Barnes. As long as Aminu is seeing over 30 mpg the sky is the limit for the young talented forward.
The once dubbed bust may be turning around his fortunes

Strong Buy (12 team plus)







Power Forward

Tobias Harris (SF,PF) Yahoo Ownership 9%

Size, speed, skill, versatility, youth, potential, the list is endless to describe Tobbias Harris game. The 20 year old Tennessee product has awed scouts and coaches throughout his high school and college career and now has finally earned the opportunity to show his skills in the NBA. Although the sophomore is coached by one of the anti-christs for fantasy players in Scott Skiles, Harris has finally earned his way into a starting job with the Bucks. In his first career start this season, Harris rewarded his coach in 33 minutes of action, dropping 18 points (2 threes), 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and 1 block. Due to the departure of Carlos Delfino and the injury concerns of veteran Mike Dunleavy, Harris's minutes are should be safe and with opposing teams focusing on super stars Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis, Harris will find himself with many open shots and lanes to use this season. Although Dunleavy exhibited the potential to affect Harris's stats in a negative fashion, owners would be wise to grab the young man now and realize that the long term youthful potential will surely overcome the veterans sporadic hot shooting nights.

Solid Buy (12-14 team plus)


Tobias Harris is on his way to a break out sophomore season














Centre

Robin Lopez (C) Yahoo Ownership 31%

Yes, I can't even believe I am recommending two Hornets players in the same article, but numbers are numbers and they certainly do not lie. Lopez has found a way into the New Orleans starting lineup and has made the most of his opportunity putting up top 90 fantasy numbers the past three games. Averaging over 14 points and 2 blocks, Lopez has showed off some great hustle and smooth touch around the basket and is beginning to change his label as a career reserve centre. Although even with the great start owners should be careful of the obvious yet surprising roadblock that may end up hindering Lopez's solid potential, which is the amount of depth New Orleans has in the big men positions. Even though Lopez has averaged over 30 minutes to start the season, with the ongoing presence of super rookie Anthony Davis, 3 point ace Ryan Anderson, and pesky grinder Jason Smith, Robin may struggle to continue to find enough minutes that will allow him to put up serviceable fantasy numbers. Aside from the obvious minute concerns, owners would be wise to pick up Lopez now in favour veteran centres such as Elton Brand and Samuel Dalembert, due to the top fantasy centre numbers he can provide.

Solid Buy  (12 team plus)



You may hate the hair, but don't hate his game 

That's it for this weeks fantasy advice. I hope to see you all next week for another edition of Three in the Key Fantasy Basketball Pickups.